CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-09-04T20:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-09-04T20:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/12989/-1
CME Note: Associated with M5.5 flare from AR 12673. CME start time was updated from 2017-09-04T23:06Z. Note that there was also a CME starting on 2017-09-04T19:39Z that was slightly slower but in a similar direction and was likely "merged" with the faster 2017-09-04T20:36Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-06T23:08Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0
Dst min. in nT: -23
Dst min. time: 2017-09-07T09:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-06T22:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note:
Run details:
DETAILS
Project name: OPS
Case name: AUTORUN
Run by: BB
Run start: Fri Sep 8 16:45:01 UTC 2017
Run end: Fri Sep 8 17:00:01 UTC 2017
Host machine: sws-enlil.sws.bom.gov.au
Grid: 256x30x90
WSA file: wsa_vel_21.5rs_2017090814_gong.fits
CMEs: 3

__________________________
DFmenu
20170904T2239
-14
3
45
1504

__________________________
DFmenu
20170905T0141
-4
48
40
554

__________________________
DFmenu
20170906T1441
-9
19
44
1490

http://enlil-web.sws.bom.gov.au/ips_enlil.php?run=OPS-AUTORUN&url=1
Lead Time: -41.87 hour(s)
Difference: 1.13 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2017-09-08T17:00Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement